{"id":25566,"date":"2024-10-05T23:19:02","date_gmt":"2024-10-06T02:19:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noticiasnoface.com.br\/?p=25566"},"modified":"2024-10-05T23:19:02","modified_gmt":"2024-10-06T02:19:02","slug":"pesquisa-quaest-natal-votos-validos-paulinho-freire-tem-37-carlos-eduardo-psd-35-e-natalia-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noticiasnoface.com.br\/index.php\/2024\/10\/05\/pesquisa-quaest-natal-votos-validos-paulinho-freire-tem-37-carlos-eduardo-psd-35-e-natalia-25\/","title":{"rendered":"PESQUISA QUAEST\/ NATAL \/VOTOS V\u00c1LIDOS: Paulinho Freire tem 37%; Carlos Eduardo (PSD), 35%; e Nat\u00e1lia, 25%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Pesquisa Quaest divulgada neste s\u00e1bado (5) com os votos v\u00e1lidos da disputa para Prefeitura de Natal mostra o candidato Paulinho Freire (Uni\u00e3o) com 37%; Carlos Eduardo (PSD) com 35%, e Nat\u00e1lia Bonavides (PT) com 25%.
Pela margem de erro da pesquisa, que \u00e9 de tr\u00eas pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos, o cen\u00e1rio indica empate t\u00e9cnico entre Paulinho Freire e Carlos Eduardo.
Em seguida aparecem Rafael Motta (Avante) com 3%; Hero (PRTB) e Nando Poeta (PSTU) n\u00e3o somaram, individualmente, 1%.
A pesquisa Quaest foi realizada presencialmente com 1.000 pessoas de 16 anos ou mais em Natal, nos dias 4 e 5 de outubro, e foi registrada na Justi\u00e7a Eleitoral sob o protocolo RN-09512\/2024. A margem de erro \u00e9 de 3 pontos, para mais ou para menos, dentro do n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%.
Veja os n\u00fameros:<\/strong>
Paulinho Freire (Uni\u00e3o):<\/strong> 37%
Carlos Eduardo (PSD):<\/strong> 35%
Nat\u00e1lia Bonavides (PT):<\/strong> 25%
Rafael Motta (Avante):<\/strong> 3%
Nando Poeta (PSTU):<\/strong> 0%
Hero (PRTB):<\/strong> 0%
Como a Quaest calcula os votos v\u00e1lidos?<\/strong>
 
Para calcular os votos v\u00e1lidos, que \u00e9 a forma como o TSE divulga o resultado das elei\u00e7\u00f5es, a Quaest levou em considera\u00e7\u00e3o as inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto da pesquisa, o padr\u00e3o e o perfil de comparecimento eleitoral na cidade de Natal.
Al\u00e9m disso, nos votos v\u00e1lidos, considera tamb\u00e9m o n\u00edvel de probabilidade de os eleitores sa\u00edrem de casa para votar, ou seja, o n\u00edvel de engajamento dos eleitores de cada candidato \u2013 \u00e9 o modelo likely voter, que considera eleitores com maior propens\u00e3o a votar.
Pesquisa estimulada \u2013 votos totais
O levantamento tamb\u00e9m mostrou a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto estimulada, em que os nomes dos candidatos s\u00e3o apresentados ao eleitor no momento da entrevista. Os votos s\u00e3o totais, ou seja, brancos, nulos e indecisos n\u00e3o s\u00e3o exclu\u00eddos da pesquisa.
Paulinho Freire (Uni\u00e3o):<\/strong> 31%
Carlos Eduardo (PSD):<\/strong> 30%
Nat\u00e1lia Bonavides (PT):<\/strong> 20%
Rafael Motta (Avante):<\/strong> 3%
Her\u00f3 (PRTB):<\/strong> 0%
Nando Poeta (PSTU):<\/strong> 0%
Indecisos:<\/strong> 5%
Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar:<\/strong> 11%
Pesquisa espont\u00e2nea \u2013 votos totais<\/strong>
 
A Quaest tamb\u00e9m pesquisou a inten\u00e7\u00e3o de votos espont\u00e2nea, em que os nomes dos candidatos n\u00e3o s\u00e3o apresentados. Veja os resultados:
Paulinho Freire (Uni\u00e3o):<\/strong> 27%
Carlos Eduardo (PSD):<\/strong> 24%
Nat\u00e1lia Bonavides (PT):<\/strong> 16%
Rafael Motta (Avante):<\/strong> 1%
Her\u00f3 (PRTB):<\/strong> 0%
Indecisos: <\/strong>26%
Branco\/Nulo\/N\u00e3o vai votar: <\/strong>6%
Nando Poeta (PSTU) n\u00e3o foi citado.
 
g1-RN<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[517],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","hentry","category-aconteceu","post_format-post-format-image"],"yoast_head":"\nPESQUISA QUAEST\/ NATAL \/VOTOS V\u00c1LIDOS: Paulinho Freire tem 37%; 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