{"id":29120,"date":"2025-08-03T23:03:46","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T02:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noticiasnoface.com.br\/?p=29120"},"modified":"2025-08-03T23:03:46","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T02:03:46","slug":"analise-republicanos-fazem-mudancas-discretas-visando-eleicoes-de-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noticiasnoface.com.br\/index.php\/2025\/08\/03\/analise-republicanos-fazem-mudancas-discretas-visando-eleicoes-de-2028\/","title":{"rendered":"An\u00e1lise: Republicanos fazem mudan\u00e7as discretas visando elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2028"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Candidatos ambiciosos viajam pelos EUA tentando se apresentar como sucessores naturais de Trump<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

03\/08\/25 \u00e0s 22:52 | Atualizado 03\/08\/25 \u00e0s 22:58<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/
O vice-presidente dos EUA, JD Vance, chega para falar com rep\u00f3rteres a bordo do Air Force Two no Aeroporto Internacional Leonardo da Vinci em 19 de maio de 2025 em Roma, It\u00e1lia.  \u2022 Jacquelyn Martin\/Pool\/Getty Images via CNN Newsource<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Parece cedo demais, mas n\u00e3o \u00e9. Assim como os democratas j\u00e1 tra\u00e7am estrat\u00e9gias para vencer a pr\u00f3xima elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial dos EUA, os republicanos tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o se preparando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mas enquanto os democratas tentar\u00e3o se superar na oposi\u00e7\u00e3o ao presidente americano, os republicanos ter\u00e3o que navegar por um partido que Trump reconstruiu em torno de seus pr\u00f3prios instintos pol\u00edticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zachary B. Wolf e Eric Bradner, da CNN<\/strong>, avaliam o movimento republicano em torno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2028. Veja a seguir:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump tentar\u00e1 um terceiro mandato, apesar da Constitui\u00e7\u00e3o?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wolf:<\/strong> Trump tentar\u00e1 disputar um terceiro mandato, mesmo com o que diz a Constitui\u00e7\u00e3o? Ele j\u00e1 sugeriu isso, certo?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradner:<\/strong> N\u00e3o h\u00e1 nenhum caminho constitucional para ele buscar um terceiro mandato. Mas isso n\u00e3o significa que os republicanos<\/a> ambiciosos que querem suced\u00ea-lo possam contrari\u00e1-lo. Eles n\u00e3o podem ser vistos como advers\u00e1rios. Est\u00e3o tentando se destacar por m\u00e9rito pr\u00f3prio, mas sem dar a entender que Trump est\u00e1 ineleg\u00edvel para um terceiro mandato, mesmo que a Constitui\u00e7\u00e3o deixe isso absolutamente claro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como os pr\u00e9-candidatos evitam desagradar Trump?<\/strong>
Wolf:<\/strong> Ele gosta de brincar sobre concorrer, mas tamb\u00e9m j\u00e1 disse que n\u00e3o vai. Supondo, por ora, que ele n\u00e3o tente algo inconstitucional, como os poss\u00edveis candidatos republicanos<\/a> devem estruturar suas campanhas sem perder o apoio dele?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradner:<\/strong> \u00c9 preciso cuidado. Enquanto Trump continuar t\u00e3o popular com a base republicana, os candidatos ter\u00e3o de mostrar apoio \u00e0 sua agenda. Isso pode variar conforme o cargo, se a pessoa \u00e9 vice-presidente, senador ou governador.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por enquanto, vemos republicanos ambiciosos viajando para os estados com prim\u00e1rias iniciais e usando discursos para reafirmar o apoio \u00e0 agenda de Trump, tentando se apresentar como sucessores naturais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A situa\u00e7\u00e3o fica ainda mais complexa com o vice-presidente JD Vance claramente posicionado como herdeiro pol\u00edtico. Os outros buscam mostrar alinhamento ideol\u00f3gico com Trump e a\u00e7\u00f5es concretas em apoio a ele, ao mesmo tempo em que apresentam suas pr\u00f3prias conquistas e estilo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vance \u00e9 o herdeiro natural de Trump?<\/strong>
Wolf:<\/strong> JD Vance \u00e9 o herdeiro \u00f3bvio de Trump. Os republicanos veem a indica\u00e7\u00e3o como garantida para ele?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradner:<\/strong> Ele certamente come\u00e7a em posi\u00e7\u00e3o privilegiada. Mas me surpreendeu quantas vezes o nome do Secret\u00e1rio de Estado Marco Rubio foi citado em Iowa, ao lado de Vance. Ambos, apesar de cr\u00edticas p\u00fablicas anteriores a Trump, hoje s\u00e3o vistos como integrantes leais do governo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rubio tem a vantagem de j\u00e1 ter concorrido \u00e0 presid\u00eancia antes, e muitos eleitores j\u00e1 o conhecem. Vance \u00e9 querido, mas ainda n\u00e3o \u00e9 familiar para os eleitores dos estados iniciais. Ele tem a vantagem de ser o \u201clegado\u201d de Trump, mas n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma garantia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para onde vai a ideologia republicana ap\u00f3s Trump?<\/strong>
Wolf:<\/strong> O partido se moldou ao redor do populismo de Trump. Um senador como Josh Hawley, mais populista, pode ter vantagem sobre um mais tradicional como Youngkin?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradner:<\/strong> Esse espa\u00e7o pode estar aberto, embora Vance ainda esteja \u00e0 frente. Ele j\u00e1 demonstrava instintos populistas antes mesmo de virar vice-presidente. Ser flex\u00edvel em entrevistas e mensagens ser\u00e1 ainda mais importante nesse cen\u00e1rio dominado por Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como organizar o campo de candidatos?<\/strong>
Wolf:<\/strong> Como agrupar os poss\u00edveis candidatos? Senadores, governadores, membros do governo?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradner:<\/strong> Esse \u00e9 um bom ponto de partida. Dentro do governo, Vance<\/a> e Rubio s\u00e3o os mais conhecidos. Outros como Kristi Noem (Seguran\u00e7a Interna) e Doug Burgum (Interior), aliados de Trump e ex-governadores, t\u00eam ambi\u00e7\u00f5es, mas menos visibilidade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O grupo de governadores talvez seja o mais interessante: eles t\u00eam agendas pr\u00f3prias e mais liberdade fora de Washington. Youngkin, por exemplo, est\u00e1 prestes a deixar o cargo e estar\u00e1 livre para se dedicar \u00e0 campanha.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Outros nomes: Sanders (alinhada a Trump desde sua \u00e9poca como secret\u00e1ria de imprensa) e Brian Kemp (Ge\u00f3rgia), que apesar de conflitos com Trump em 2020, tem mostrado reconcilia\u00e7\u00e3o e um hist\u00f3rico conservador pr\u00f3prio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Entre os senadores, Tim Scott (Carolina do Sul), que concorreu em 2024, saiu com la\u00e7os mais estreitos com Trump. Mas ele tem dificuldade em se promover \u2014 algo que o pr\u00f3prio Trump apontou. Outros nomes em observa\u00e7\u00e3o: Rand Paul, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton. Mas ser\u00e1 dif\u00edcil se destacar num campo lotado e presos \u00e0 agenda de Washington, diferente da liberdade que t\u00eam os governadores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Candidatos ambiciosos viajam pelos EUA tentando se apresentar como sucessores naturais de Trump 03\/08\/25 \u00e0s 22:52 | Atualizado 03\/08\/25 \u00e0s 22:58 Parece cedo 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